Thursday, January 30, 2020

Act three of the crucible Essay Example for Free

Act three of the crucible Essay This leaves Mary Warren accused, with no way out, as Abigail expands on this statement to make it seem more realistic. Abigail has achieved what she wanted, she has gotten the attention away from herself using her accusations. The tension builds as we dont know what Abigail is going to do next and we know that she is capable of destroying peoples lives. The Puritan society meant that everything revolved around God, the girls, knowing this, found that the strongest way to act was to accuse people of being against God. It would make them look in a better light as they are doing Gods work by ferreting the evil out of the village. Danforth, Hale and Hathorne believe that God is using the girls to help the village. This constant reference to the Bible and repetition of the puritan beliefs adds to the tension as it shows that they will not doubt the messengers of God. There is also a moment of humour were Proctor forgets one of the commandments, when he is trying to prove his wifes innocence. Throughout the whole ordeal Proctor stands as the voice of reason, speaking the truth but not being heard over the tumult of lies. He voices sensible faults to Abigails accusations. When Abigail sees a yellow bird, Proctor says that he cant see it and asks Hale the same thing even though he is being quieted by Danforth as he is trying to get the words out. He asks Hale because he thinks that Hale is starting to lose faith in the reliability of the court and calls to him for back up and support. He frantically tries to tell Danforth that the girls are just pretending in order to help Mary Warren, other wise he would feel guilty for Marys fate because he brought her there and told her to face up to Abigail and to tell the truth, Theyre pretending, Mr. Danforth! . . . Theyre gulling you Mister! This again adds to the tension as everyone is shouting over each other and the anger builds. As soon as everyone has been calmed down, once more they begin to yell their accusations over each other. The tension is built in peaks and troughs to keep the audience on edge. It is first built at the beginning when the characters first come on stage. It is lulled by Hale who asks for calm, and as they discuss the proceedings rationally, it is raised once more upon the entrance of Proctor as Parris claims he is there to overthrow the court. Another raise in tension is when Proctors wife is accused of keeping poppets in the house. Proctor cannot, despite the confession of Mary Warren, convince Danforth that it did not belong to Elizabeth. Abigail becomes worried that Danforth is starting to believe Proctor and so to strengthen the girls story she pretends she can feel a cold wind which is freezing her. The other girls pick up the act quickly and can also feel the wind. Proctor knows that they are only acting but cannot convince anyone else, as the girls have done it so much they start to believe it themselves. Act three Abigail : I I know not. A wind, a cold wind, has come. (her eyes fall on Mary) Mary : (terrified, pleading) Abby! Mercy : (shivering) Your Honour, I freeze! Proctor : Their pretending! Hathorne : She is cold, Your Honour, touch her! Abigail makes several attacks like this on Mary, when her and the other girls copy everything that Mary says and the one which finally cracks her, the yellow bird story. All these fantasies which Abigail makes up adds to the tension as we do not know what will happen to Mary if she does not confess. When Mary accuses Proctor she thinks she is doing what Abigail wants her to do but it ruins Abigails plan to get rid of Proctors wife so she could be with him instead. This is the end of the climax where Proctor is so angry at the injustice of the events and terrified of what with happen to him that in a moment of outrage that seals his arrest and ultimate hanging when he shouts out, I say I say God is dead! In the video the fury of the towns people is shown as they, in a Theocracy, feel very strongly about blasphemy. Proctor has seen the truth as he says that both Danforth and himself are doomed to hell as they have both sinned, Proctor : God damns our kind especially, and we will burn , we will burn together! . . . You are pulling Heaven down and raising up a whore! Hale has had enough and says he had nothing to do with the court proceedings and the overall verdict and storms out of the court. This is the final climax that Millar was building to the end were Proctor is so angry at Abigail and the court that he doesnt care any more. When he says, I say I say God is dead! He is basically signing his own death warrant as the tolerance for blasphemy in his society was non-existent. Proctor knew this and knew this would anger everyone but he also knew that he couldnt win. The end of the scene ends in chaos, as Hale storms out, The court falls apart, symbolising the less than perfect world of the Theocracy and their entire beliefs, which do not work when people have the freedom to lie and cause such thing as murder to happen legally and with the authorisation of the courts. I think that the point Arthur Miller is trying to make is that people will only believe what they want to believe. Also, there is not a straight line drawn through right and wrong, how crime and punishment are often influenced by thoughts, feelings and individual ideals. I think he is also trying to say that good doesnt always conquer over evil no matter how superior their principals, intensions or morals are. Stephanie Moore English Crucible essay Show preview only The above preview is unformatted text This student written piece of work is one of many that can be found in our GCSE Arthur Miller section.

Wednesday, January 22, 2020

My Writing :: Education Writers Teaching Essays

My Writing might get; then again, maybe you won't. I guess it depends on the situation. There is a "me" behind everything I write. That I know because if I didn't exist, neither would my writing. But I've come to the conclusion that there is more than one possible "me" used in my writing instead of "me" falsely portrayed as something I'm not. Each "me" is distinct and appears in its proper writing situation. The first paper we wrote for this class is an excellent example of me hiding behind, but not deserting, my writing. My paper on the metaphor for a university falls loosely under the category of "The Official Style" because it contains a plethora of passive "be" verbs, prepositional phrases, and gender-neutral nouns, such as student, instructor, and everyone's favorite: one  ­ to avoid using that whole he/she thing. Reading over it this weekend, I decided that I still agree with my metaphor although I have a different perspective as to where I place myself in my vision of a university. I'm glad that I didn't actively place myself in the paper because ten weeks later, I'm looking at that metaphor differently. As I thought about my metaphor, I realized my perspective as a student changes depending on what part of the quarter or year it is. At the beginning of each quarter, and especially each year, I try and convince myself that I want to place my studies first, but by the end of a quarter, and especially the year, when I'm waylaid by many assignments, I'm sick and tired of school to the extent that all I want is to finish up whatever I'm working on and be done with it. This is very unfortunate when you consider that the work at the end of the quarter is usually worth more than earlier assignments. When I wrote our first paper, I honestly believed that I fell in the middle between my idea of "good" and "bad" students, but I sway back and forth between each side every quarter so I think I'm neither  ­ and not in the middle either. My writing style changes the same way my perspective as a student changes. It changes to fit the situation. I've come to the conclusion that I'm not as intelligent as I try to portray myself. Don't get me wrong; I'm not implying I'm stupid, but I do feel the need to "dress up" my writing for classes and make it read more scholarly so that I seem smarter than I really am.

Tuesday, January 14, 2020

The Online Therapy Sites Health And Social Care Essay

This paper discusses about on-line therapy sites and the types of three on-line therapy sites. It besides inside informations the content of each online sites and the engagement of professionals. This paper examines the interaction of existent online sites and besides addresses how the professional associations and province regulative boards positions online therapy. It explains the relevant security issues and ethical issues such as consent and confidentiality that are included in on-line therapy sites. This paper besides evaluates the advantages and the disadvantages of on-line therapy sites. It besides concludes with this paper by supplying indispensable construct that is supported to the on-line therapy sites. Online Therapy Sites The on-line therapy was besides known as E-therapy, E-counseling and cyber-therapy and this on-line therapy provided the psychological advice and support over the cyberspace. The psychological advice and other elements could be occurred through E-mail, online confab, cyberspace phone every bit good as picture conferencing. The on-line therapy occurred in existent clip including time-delayed format and E-mail messages etc. The on-line therapy can non be assumed psychotherapeutics and it will be ne'er replaced traditional therapy. The on-line therapy had the restrictions and but it was going a important resource to turn figure of consumers. The on-line therapy included the E-mail, existent clip confab, picture conferencing, instant messaging every bit good as cyberspace phone.Three online sitesThe online sites utilized the convenience of cyberspace that provided communicating among an person and a professional. The on-line therapy helped the person with the job declaration, to better t he temper and increased the self-pride and the dawn guidance site provided the on-line guidance for persons that were fighting with relationships, anxiousness, depression every bit good as loss of way. The dawn guidance site was contributed more to the professional and personal life of human being. The dawn therapy was non appropriate for everyone and but it had shown effectiveness in several state of affairss. The professional associations and regulative boards viewed this on-line therapy efficaciously for the life of human being. In professional life, people could acquire more benefits from this dawn online site. This on-line therapy site contributed into the educational services besides ( Kate Anthony, 2010 ) . The 2nd online therapy was the unrecorded counsellor site that offered the chart room apparatus for users. This on-line therapy was the celebrated the therapy site that was holding 200 healers, counsellors every bit good as societal workers presented for the better part for personal every bit good as professional life of human being. This counsellor allowed the clients to seek for a healer by any influence in order to making the inventions. This on-line site offered aid with crisis or physical conditions, parenting, personal development, relationships every bit good as emotional upsets. The unrecorded counsellor therapy site did n't necessitate any assignment and besides the clients may subscribe in anytime by the aid of their on-line service suppliers. This on-line site was besides allowed the people in order to posting their profile into therapy sites. Hence the professional associations and province regulative services viewed this online therapy better. The 3rd on-line site was serenity on-line therapy that offered therapy via e-mail apparatus to users. This was besides the popular site in supplying the better inventions to human being and the part of this site to people was effectual. This on-line therapy web site contributed to the mental wellness attention services. This site besides faced many issues including dependence, heartache and loss, childhood injury every bit good as affaire d'honneur diagnosing. In this instance, the province counsellor board application procedure and process had been established by Torahs. This on-line therapy site proposed the engineering and scientific discipline security in order to better the ethical issues. This therapy site besides empowered and enabled the clients to do an informed determination for engaging the peculiar professional. These three therapy sites were besides used to happen the troubles in society factors and used to decide the job of society ( Foojan Zeine, 2005 ) .Security and e thical issues. The on-line therapy was non involved real-world interactions with clients and some ethical concerns were more complicated. The on-line therapy obtained the informed consent from all E-clients and the informed consent was the legal process in order to guarantee the hazards and costs in a intervention. The informed consent besides included the nature of intervention, alternate interventions, and benefits of interventions every bit good as possible hazards. The informed consent was considered for doing the better result to the clients and the informed consent must be given voluntarily to the clients. The confidentiality was the ethical every bit good as the security issue and the concern of confidentiality in on-line therapy was the protection of client information. The use of electronic communicating was used in order to protect the information of clients. The medical records of patients were stored in on-line therapy sites that were protected by therapy sites. The premise of privateness of personal information based upon the on-line therapy in protecting the information of patients. The possible online therapy utilized to procure the privateness of medical records. The effectual protection could be made by doing the better E-books for patients. The legal responsibility to warm was besides the legal issues for protecting the information. The legal responsibility to warm was besides established in order to extenuate the jobs of clients. The responsibility to warm was the better protection tool but it was hard to implementing and this responsibility to warm included the reappraisal of old records that might see a history of violent behaviour. This legal issue was given the rights to the counsellor and healer in order to transgress confidentiality when clients pose a hazard to other individual.Advantages of on-line therapy sitesThe on-line therapy was holding many advantages and disadvantages to the patients including the protection of personal every bit good as patients ‘ information. The on-line therapy offered the better accessing methods top mental wellness information to the people in rural every bit good as distant entree. The online therapy besides provided the handiness to the persons who were housebound. The on-line therapy was more contributed to the patients in the instance of their personal every bit good as professional life and this therapy sites were usually low-cost every bit good as convenient. The online sites made mental wellness information more accessible to clients and the people could experience more comfy in discoursing about mental wellness concerns. The on-line therapy site was an of import tool for assisting people to larn approximately psychological wellness ( Kimberly S.Young, 2010 ) .Disadvantages of online therapyThe on-line therapy was used in many ways to people and but at the average clip it was holding some disadvantages. The on-line therapy could n't be covered the insurance policies that ‘s why this was the drawback to patients. The on-line therapy sites concerned about undependable engineering and the healer could n't react to crisis state of affairss. These sites were non appropriate with the serious psychiatric unwellness. The E-therapy was non appropriate for people with elaborate jobs and the range of on-line therapy ‘s aid was limited. In many instances, the on-line healer could non see facial looks every bit good as organic structure linguistic communications. The ethical and legal guidelines could be hard in order to implementing into the on-line therapy due to the planetary and anon. nature of the cyberspace and the ethical codifications were besides hard for implementing.DecisionThe on-line therapy sites and the constructs of on-line therapy sites were discussed. The content of each site and the engagement of professionals of each online therapy sites were besides included. The interaction of three online sites was explained. The engagement of professional associations every bit good as regulative boards on the E-therapy sites was detailed. The ethical and legal issues of on-line therapy sites were examined and the advantages every bit good as disadvantages of on-line therapy sites were co ncluded.

Monday, January 6, 2020

Mexicos Current Electronic Media - 1468 Words

(†¦) Most dangerous country in the western hemisphere for the media, as the reporter without borders describes Mexico (Mexico Profile - Media). Due to the increase of deaths among reporters it becomes a risk to gather news for Mexican citizens. However, the growth of media continues to increase throughout Mexico. Despite the number of deaths among reporters media is still prominent in the country. Mexico s mass media is similar to the United States in most ways. In contrast to the U.S., Mexico s government has control and influence on the media that s broadcasted. To better understand the past and future development of Mexico s mass media, this paper will outline the historical expansion of Mexico’s Media, Mexico’s current†¦show more content†¦Being the country with the second highest number of Catholics--Mexican citizens remain hopeful. From 1929 to 1980, Mexico held the longest-ruling party in the world called the Partido Revolutionario Institutional (PRI), or the Institutional Revolutionary Party. The PRI dominated the political institutions in Mexico. It was a party that included all significant figures in the national and local politics. The PRI funded the media during its time in power, and enabled them to control what was being said and presented about the Mexican government. Resources say that the PRI would spy on the journalists using the national intelligence agency (Hallin 87). The lack of professionalism and higher education also hindered the opportunity for journalists to be seen as respectable and credible to the public. In the 1950’s, Televisa, the first Latin American television network was created and funded by the PRI. Televisa continues to be the largest television network in Latin America today; however, due to its ties with the PRI during the 1950’s, Televisa is still seen as a gov ernment affiliated network. In Daniel C. Hallin’s article, â€Å"Media, Political Power and Democratization in Mexico,† he goes into further detail on how Televisa openly supported PRI during the electoral campaign. In 1988, the ruling party [PRI] faced its toughest competitor, Cuatemoc Cardenas Solorzano, from the small leftist party. During the electoral race, Televisa devoted 80% to the

Sunday, December 29, 2019

History And Abundance Of Wildlife - 752 Words

1) 1600-1849: Era of Abundance Americas being settles and Jamestown first settlement in history and abundance of wildlife (Shaw, 316) 2) 1639: first game law in North America Rhode Island closed hunting season for white-tailed deer from May to November (Leopold, 1933 a, p. 481) 3) 1694: Massachusetts issued similar law to 1639 (Leopold, 1933 a, p. 481) 4) 1708: colony of New York protected ruffed grouse, wild turkey, and heath hens during part of the year (Leopold, 1933 a, p. 481). New York prohibited killing of turkey in three counties from April 1 to August 1. Led to other states protecting wild turkey during nesting and brooding season (Leopold, 1933 a, p. 481). 5) 1738: First â€Å"buck law† in Virginia only allowed killing of antlered bucks (Leopold, 1933 a, p. 481). 6) 1767: Steller’s sea cow extinct (Bolden and Robinson, 2003, p. 13). 7) 1842: Geer v. Connicut issue of ownership over wildlife (Bolden and Robinson, 2003, p. 513). 8) 1850-1899: Era of Overexploitation characterized by decimation of herds of bison (Shaw, 316). 9) 1872: Yellowstone made first National Park (Bolden and Robinson, 2003, p. 351). 10) 1874: veto of bill to protect bison by President Grant (Bolden and Robinson, 2003, p. 10). 11) 1878: bag limit idea introduced when Iowa limited to 25 greater prairie chickens per day (Leopold, 1933 a, p. 481). 12) 1885: Division of Entomology provided grant of $5000 to Ornithologists’ union to determine status of bird distribution and migration (Bolden andShow MoreRelatedHunting Is An Essential Component Of Conservation944 Words   |  4 Pageshistory of hunting reveals that hunters of today share many of the same motivations and methods as ancient hunters. While technology and accessories may be different that those used for hunting thousands of years ago, the ability to take down an animal is something to be celebrated. When you learn the history of hunting, you’ll gain greater appreciation for this old tradition. Hunting is an essential component of conservation and can be used in everyday life; it has been a part of American historyRead MoreThe Science Of Environmental Management1092 Words   |  5 Pagespoint). â€Æ' 2. How do K-selected and r-selected models of life-history strategy differ? Provide an example of each life-history strategy and how the management of such species would differ.(2 point). â€Æ' 3. Ecologists are interested in calculating population density to measure changes in populations over time. Define absolute and relative population densities. Indices of abundance can provide relative measures of animal densities or abundances, and may be used over time to describe population changes.Read MoreThe Bears Of British Columbia1497 Words   |  6 PagesConnor Baldwin has spent many years photographing the bears of the region. There are two distinct species of bear that are native to British Columbia, the Grizzly Bear and the Kermode Bear. Each of these bear species are unique, and important to the wildlife and ecology of their habitat. The Grizzly Bear, or Ursus arctos horribilus, is the second largest land based carnivore in all of North America. It has a life expectancy of twenty years, and the average male Grizzly Bear can reach an astounding threeRead MoreStones river battlefield Essay793 Words   |  4 PagesNational Battlefield, Where students and others may enjoy exercising, viewing wildlife, or learning about the history behind this amazing place. Many men on both sides of the controversy died at this site. The park is in a beautiful setting that shows respect for the enormous sacrifices made by so many. Many trails have been made to allow visitors to walk through all areas of the battlefield while observing the abundant wildlife and beautiful scenery. An incredible museum depicting life during the CivilRead MoreThe Colonization Of New England964 Words   |  4 PagesIf you wanted to record the beginning of English colonist history in North America, you would have to begin with the settlements of New En gland. The English colonists had to endure the ecological challenges of New England, oppose to the conditions they were accustomed to in England. They also had to coexist with the original inhabitants of the lands the Native American Indians for information on techniques of agriculture for proper sustainability, and for trade pur-poses. English colonists had toRead MoreAnalysis Of Seafarming At The End Of The World By Peter Meehan1096 Words   |  5 Pagesthe author of â€Å"Mankind at the Turning Point†, who once said â€Å"The Earth has cancer and the cancer is man†. He was definitely onto something. In fact, humans have had a major negative impact on the world’s marine environment. Throughout recent human history, it has been obvious that the wellbeing of the marine environment has been in jeopardy. Pollution of the ocean, overfishing and the greenhouse gases these are all the aspects that can cause the destroying of the precious environments, such as reefs Read MoreA Brief Note On Endangered Species Research Paper1527 Words   |  7 PagesPaper Period: 2 Hasn’t the world lost enough? Animals are harmed by letting nature take its course, meaning climate changes, deforestation, etc. Human poaching is a major contributor also. â€Å"Extinctions have occurred throughout our planet’s natural history. Some species develop as others die out, making space in the ecosystem for those best suited to any given habitat’s natural conditions. Long before human beings arrived, fossil records show that populations of animals evolved, thrived, declined, andRead MoreA Fable for Tomorrow by Rachel Carson1562 Words   |  6 Pagesgives a picture of a vibrant town, in which everything of the natural world, including humans and wildlife, live together in harmony. There is an abundance of life in the town and everything flourished. Out of the blue, something inexplicable strikes and the cheerful town rapidly fades away. People started becoming sick and then eventually dying had the doctors stumped. The farm animals and wildlife dies. There were no birds and no fish as they all disappeared. The flowers and trees no longer bloomRead MoreThe Negative Human Impacts On The Oceans1104 Words   |  5 Pagesthe author of â€Å"Mankind at the Turning Point†, who once said â€Å"The Earth has cancer and the cancer is man†. He was definitely onto something. In fact, humans have had a major negative impact on the world’s marine environment. Throughout recent human history, it has been obvious that the wellbeing of the marine environment has been in jeopardy. Pollution of the ocean, overfishing and the greenhouse gases these are all the aspects that can cause the destroying of the precious environments, such as reefsRead MoreZoos : The World s Fifth Mass Extinction Of Animal Species874 Words   |  4 Pagesthe majority of zoos are advocating for conservation, education, and research, especially for endangered species. They believe their second focus is the entertainment of the guests. Species of wild life are facing global extinction on a massive scale. In the past 40 years alone, 52 percent of the world’s wildlife has disappeared from the face of the earth due to habitat loss, poaching, and climate change (Henn, 2015). Many scientists believe we have single-handedly caused the world’s sixth mass extinction

Saturday, December 21, 2019

Analysis Of Leave Your Name At The Border - 1387 Words

Blending In and Standing Out Our society is a melange of different cultures. Each culture contributes to cultural diversity without losing its separate identity. Living in this society, we identify ourselves as a member of one group with the same culture or more than one group, and we have the desire to be accepted by other members and enjoy whatever benefits membership brings with it. Manuel Munoz, the author of â€Å"Leave Your Name at the Border†, recounted an experience about hearing his last name mispronounced and explored the Anglicization of Latina names in American culture. In â€Å"My Summer at an Indian Call Center†, Andrew Marantz narrated his experiences about working at a call center in Delhi and the insight he received from others about his own culture. Does Mexican Americans’ identity have to be lost in the process of assimilation? Do the customer service representatives in Delhi have to erase any trace of their Indian identity? When we join, or ar e assimilated into a group, we are changed regardless of retaining an original cultural identity or being part of the dominant culture. The level of change we are able to achieve is based on our willingness to compromise between blending in and standing out. Navigating between cultures requires a person to blend in. Blending in is an access to get more opportunities and brighter careers. Munoz described his stepfather’s experience with the Anglicization of his name. Though unwilling to change his name from Antonio to Tony,Show MoreRelatedRacial Profiling : A Cause And Effect926 Words   |  4 PagesUnderstanding Racial Profiling: A Cause Effect Analysis of Racial Stereotypes Racism and racial stereotypes have existed throughout human history. The radical belief associated by thinking the skin color, language, or a person’s nationality is the reason that someone is one way or another has become extremely detrimental to society. Throughout human existence it has sparked tension between groups of people and ultimately influenced wars and even caused slavery. Racism in America dates back toRead MoreDNS Research Paper1556 Words   |  7 PagesThis project will briefly examine how DNS is generally secured and discuss the vulnerabilities, as DNS being a mechanism for name to IP address resolution. It will emphatically examine cryptography as one of the methods of securing the DNS and expouse the vulnerabilities in the use of cryptography By â€Å"Secured DNS†, this paper is not referring particularly to a type of DNS being secured. 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Cambodia’s population is estimated to be around 15,000,000 people. So that leaves about 5,000,000 in poverty. The current struggle Cambodia has to face is the future. The private sector needs to create enough jobs to handle Cambodia’s demographic imb alance. Nearly half of the population is under 21. Due to the poverty in this countryRead MoreThe Migration of Mexicans into the United States of America1400 Words   |  6 Pagesin the country of Mexico, many Mexican citizens yearn for a better life than what their own country could provide. In effort to attain this higher standard of living they migrate to the United States. The struggles of Mexicans do not stop once they leave Mexico, but instead they follow them through the journey of migration and even after they’ve gotten to America. Mexicans began arriving to the United States shortly after the Mexican American War in 1848, which was a battle between the U.S. and MexicoRead MoreBus 311 Business Law Entire Course Material1611 Words   |  7 Pagesbrought in federal court b) Explain the advantages and disadvantages of federal versus state court for this type of suit. Guided Response: Analyze and respond to at least two of your classmates’ postings. Do you agree with their conclusions? Did the facts you considered important in determining jurisdiction differ from your classmates? Explain why or why not.    BUS 311 Week 1 DQ 2 Tort or Crime    Tort or Crime. In Chapter 1 of the text you read about the  Bailey v. Eminem  defamation case where theRead MoreUber Business Case Study1373 Words   |  6 Pagespart of the idea of Uber came up - tap a button, get a ride (Uber)! Uber is a technology transportation service company founded by Garrett Camp and Travis Kalanick in early 2009. Uber originally was called UberCab and changed its name to simply Uber in 2011 (O’Brien). The name Uber comes from the slang Uber which means super, and have its origin from German which means above (Peterson). Uber is a pioneer in the sharing economy and ride sharing. Founder Garrett Camp came up with the other part of theRead MoreDecision I Have Made When Bought An Ipad Is High Involvement Feeling Decision1092 Words   |  5 PagesThe sequence of reaction during the entire purchasing process is feel-know-do or feel-do-know. In this situation, I did not emphasize too much on the specific information, but the general attitude and emoti onal arousal, as the product and the brand name associated with my personal system of values. Beside the size and weight, iPad is not different from my MacBook. In addition, iPad is more expensive than the alternative models of tablets. Most likely, I have chosen the Apple product because the brandRead MoreAnalysis Of The Book Men On The Sun By Ghassan Kanafani2449 Words   |  10 PagesThis analysis focuses on the story titled â€Å"Men In The Sun† by Ghassan Kanafani. One underlying basis of the analysis is displacement because character’s lives revolve around the problems that refugees encounter in their quest for better lives. Thus, the discussion shows how characters’ past lives influence their thoughts and actions. The identification and delineation of â€Å"pastfuture† and â€Å"nextness†, is based on specific moments in the story as they relate to different characters. Some of the momentsRead MoreGolda Meir Reached for the Stars Essay1560 Words   |  7 PagesHave you ever heard of Golda Meir? If you have then you know why her name and story is recorded on the shelves of time. For me, I have only just learned of this remarkable person as a result of my returning to community college and being tasked with a paper on a woman in history. The analysis of Golda Meir is an enriching experience, and raises questions and thoughts that cross many boundaries of geographic location and time about ethnic reunification, the recreation of a nation, and a perfect platform

Thursday, December 12, 2019

Final Project Auto parts word and excel Essay Example For Students

Final Project Auto parts word and excel Essay The director of marketing research needs to determine which forecast method is the most accurate in forecasting sales for the year 2008 based on the collected data on quarterly sales for the previous four years. After running four different methods of forecasting: regression with time series, regression with economic factors, Holt-Winters additive model, and Holt-Winter multiplicative model. Based on the error the most appropriate method of forecasting is regression tit economic factors. Based on this model, sales for the year BIBB decrease significantly, which may be indicative of possible recession. Therefore, it is highly recommended that auto parts plans efficiently with the available resources to prevent large loss of money. Background Forecast is a planning tool that helps management in its attempts to cope with the uncertainty of the future, relying mainly on data from the past and present and analysis of trends (Objectifications. Com)_ A good forecast helps companies prepare to prevent large amount of money loses by planning more efficiently. In the Auto Parts forecasting case study, the director of marketing of a large manufacturer of spare parts for automobiles understands the consequences of forecasting errors and wishes to forecast the sales as accurate as possible. After collecting sales data for each quarter Of the past four years, he ran a number of forecasts using the method of times series. However, there are some factors such as economic activity and Oil prices that may have a significant impact on auto parts sales for which he is concerned. Therefore, the director Of marketing research decided to use econometric variables to check if sales recast are better predicted using this model. Problem The large manufacturer of spare parts for automobiles must decide which forecast method is the most accurate in forecasting sales for the year 2008 based on the collected data on quarterly sales for the previous four years. Analysis The information provided for the auto parts case study in Excel included: quarterly sales, non-Tara activity index and oil prices for the years 2004, 2005, 2006, and 2007. Four different models were used to forecast sales for 2008: regression with time series, regression with economic doctors, Bolt-Winters additive model, and Bolt-Winters multiplicative model. Regression with time series: Time series is a sequence of obese »actions which are ordered in time or space (Young, 1997). There are two types of time series data: continuous such as electrocardiograms and discrete which are spaced intervals. The main features of time series are trend and seasonality. Trend is a long term enactment in a time series. The trend is the direction and rate of change in the time series. Trends may be identified by taking averages over a period of time in seasonal data. If the averages change over time, then a trend is identified. For example, in economics the GAP has a positive trend in the long term While resources and fix cost has a negative trend in the long term. Seasonality is the component of variation in a time series Which is dependent on the time Of the year. There are four seasons: spring. Summer, fall and winter. Dummies are used for seasonality. For the auto parts case study, regression with time series method was ran where Y the dependent variable is sales while X, XSL the independent variables are trend and seasonality respectively. Dummies were used for spring, summer, fall and winter. If a season is non-significant 8>0. 05, then it does not have an impact on sales. After running the first regression, winter (Q) is Nan-significant because it has a P value greater than 0. 5 and a t value less than absolute 2; therefore, winter (Q) does not have an impact on sales. After the first regression based on the F statistics the model is good; however, one of the independent variables (Q) was non-signifi cant. Subsequently, Squaws eliminated and a second regression was ran, After running the second regression without Q, based on the statistics the model is good. The R Square value means how much the independent variable explains the behavior of the dependent variable. In this model, the R square value represents how much trend and seasonality explain the behavior of sales. R square is equal to 95. 47, which means that the model explanatory power is high.